Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.289390 1.546258 1.858942 2.273537 2.818001 3.522072 4.524418e+00
2024-12-29 0.952504 1.261430 1.692772 2.363487 3.429230 5.154770 8.401274e+00
2025-01-05 0.758323 1.071351 1.550624 2.385822 3.922568 6.929239 1.430346e+01
2025-01-12 0.620997 0.917293 1.401362 2.318728 4.210836 8.549923 2.220131e+01
2025-01-19 0.529979 0.811043 1.294949 2.278648 4.520874 10.485655 3.482436e+01
2025-01-26 0.488391 0.775717 1.298893 2.448001 5.387826 14.787760 7.025907e+01
2025-02-02 0.449232 0.735851 1.282922 2.568097 6.220529 20.215524 1.472496e+02
2025-02-09 0.405888 0.680197 1.222595 2.564468 6.713126 25.286830 2.885453e+02
2025-02-16 0.364823 0.622213 1.145324 2.493718 6.960424 29.863423 5.488703e+02
2025-02-23 0.339308 0.590522 1.117634 2.544084 7.686005 39.168594 1.607461e+03
2025-03-02 0.320757 0.569860 1.109996 2.648450 8.730211 54.674786 9.408362e+03
2025-03-09 0.299405 0.540422 1.076510 2.666574 9.446591 71.218067 1.437268e+05
2025-03-16 0.273682 0.499347 1.010129 2.568431 9.582420 83.343719 7.121400e+08
2025-03-23 0.260909 0.484569 1.005691 2.672920 10.918080 124.725752 NaN
2025-03-30 0.245878 0.462957 0.980281 2.698938 11.882705 174.468574 NaN
2025-04-06 0.228224 0.433510 0.929893 2.620105 12.133975 214.280376 NaN
2025-04-13 0.213725 0.409722 0.890951 2.573085 12.593009 276.597770 NaN
2025-04-20 0.209361 0.408681 0.913123 2.772002 15.235425 567.053603 NaN
2025-04-27 0.203078 0.402379 0.919669 2.913493 17.769578 1182.178030 NaN
2025-05-04 0.192956 0.385814 0.894183 2.909212 18.981961 1988.188948 NaN
2025-05-11 0.181570 0.365142 0.853810 2.825822 19.275438 2848.035287 NaN
2025-05-18 0.174878 0.355378 0.844565 2.885174 21.415211 7001.340504 NaN
2025-05-25 0.170149 0.350011 0.847857 3.008355 24.808510 33851.174677 NaN